Part 4: The Presidency

Barack Obama will be elected president of the United States with 338 electoral votes and 53-55% of the popular vote. John McCain will have 200 electoral votes and 44-46% of the vote, with Ralph Nader, Bob Barr, Cynthia McKinney and Alan Keyes combined at 1-3% of the vote.

Following are my state by state projections, the number after the state is the number of electoral votes, the number after the candidate is the predicted margin of victory. In the map above dark state are states I'm sure will go to one side, light states are ones i could be wrong about.

State-by-State (Swing States in Bold)
Alabama(9): McCain+19
Alaska(3): McCain +20
Arizona(10): McCain +6
Arkansas(6): McCain +15
California(55): Obama +23
Colorado(9): Obama +10
Connecticut(7): Obama +22
Delaware(3): Obama +29
District of Columbia(3): Obama +84
Florida(27): Obama +2
Georgia(15): McCain +10
Hawaii(4): Obama +22
Idaho(4): McCain +20
Illinois(21): Obama +28
Indiana(11): McCain +1
Iowa(7): Obama +11
Kansas(6): McCain +18
Kentucky(8): McCain +10
Louisiana(9): McCain +16
Maine(4): Obama +16
Maryland(10): Obama +20
Massachusetts(12): Obama +28
Michigan(17): Obama +8
Minnesota(10): Obama +10
Mississippi(6): McCain +14
Missouri(11): McCain +0
Montana(3): McCain +3
Nebraska(5): McCain +14
Nevada(5): Obama +2
New Hampshire(4): Obama +15
New Jersey(15): Obama +17
New Mexico(5): Obama +11
New York(31): Obama +27
North Carolina(15): McCain +1
North Dakota(3): McCain +6
Ohio(20): Obama +1
Oklahoma(7): McCain +24
Oregon(7): Obama +16
Pennsylvania(21): Obama +6
Rhode Island(4): Obama +36
South Carolina(8): McCain +18
South Dakota(3): McCain +8
Tennessee(11): McCain +21
Texas(34): McCain +25
Utah(5): McCain +35
Vermont(3): Obama +34
Virginia(13): Obama +7
Washington(11): Obama +14
West Virginia(5): McCain+9
Wisconsin(10): Obama +9
Wyoming(3): McCain +18